ロンヌの氷床は,最後の氷河期を生き延びた
Eric W Wolff1, Robert Mulvaney2, Mackenzie M Grieman3
1Department of Earth Sciences, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK. ew428@cam.ac.uk.
Nature
|January 29, 2025
まとめ
過去の氷河期の間,西南極の氷床 (WAIS) は,いくつかの海面上昇モデルに反して,大部分が保たれていました. この発見は 極端な氷の減少シナリオに疑問を投げかけることで 将来の海平面予測に影響します
科学分野:
- 古代気候学
- 氷河学
- 海水面の研究
背景:
- 過去の海面上昇に対する西南極氷床 (WAIS) の貢献は不明である.
- 最後の氷河期 (LIG) の海水位は高かったため,南極の氷の減少が顕著であった.
- 南極と南洋の暖かいLIG条件は,将来の気候予測に似ています.
研究 の 目的:
- WAISとその氷棚のLIG範囲を再構築する.
- LIGの氷床の振る舞いに 観測上の制約を与えるため
- LIGの海面上昇貢献と将来の海面上昇予測を再評価する.
主な方法:
- スカイトレイン・アイス・ライズの 氷の核からの海塩の分析
- 同じ氷の核からの水同位体データの解釈
- 現存する古気候モデルとデータとの比較
主要な成果:
- ロンヌの氷棚はLIGのほとんどに存在していました.
- WAISの後退は起きましたが 氷棚が完全に失われる程度ではありません
- 観測されたLIG WAISの範囲は,劇的な氷の損失を予測するモデルと矛盾しています.
結論:
- LIG WAISは,いくつかのモデルが示唆するよりも安定していました.
- LIGの海面予算の構成要素の再評価が必要である.
- 海面上昇の予測の観測基盤は弱まっている.
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