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もう一つの気候危機

Tiffany A Shaw¹, Bjorn Stevens²

¹Department of the Geophysical Sciences, The University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA. tas1@uchicago.edu.

|March 27, 2025

まとめ

地球

科学分野:

気候科学
地球システム科学
環境科学

背景:

気候科学の標準的なアプローチは空間的スケールの分離に依存しています
地域的な気候シグナルが地球温暖化とともに蓄積されています
観測された信号と標準モデルの予測の間に矛盾が生じています

研究の目的:

気候科学における支配的なパラダイム (標準的アプローチ) を明示する.
気候モデルの不一致や混乱を特定する.
政策上の影響と将来の研究方向について議論する.

主な方法:

気候科学の支配的なパラダイムを見直す
地域の気候シグナルと異常を分析する
破壊的コンピューティングアプローチと新しいパラダイムを検証する.

主要な成果:

スケール分離に基づいた標準的なアプローチは,観測された温暖化との不一致が増加しています.
既存の気候科学のパラダイムに挑戦しています
気候科学における潜在的な"危機"は,異常とパラダイム破壊によって特徴付けられます.

結論:

観測された気候信号は標準的なアプローチの仮定に異議を唱える.
将来の研究は,現実世界のデータで仮定のテストに焦点を当てるべきです.
気候システムの構成要素とスケールの間のギャップを埋めるために概念的思考を活性化することが必要です

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