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タイムシリーズSIRモデルにおけるワクチン接種による推定報告分数のバイアス

Tiffany Leung1, Matthew Ferrari1

  • 1Center for Infectious Disease Dynamics, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, Pennsylvania, United States of America.

PloS one
|August 22, 2025
PubMed
まとめ

標準的な感受性-感染性-回復 (TSIR) モデルは,ワクチン接種による疾患発生率を過大評価する可能性があります. ワクチン接種前の感染を考慮することで,報告分数と総発生率を正確に推定する新しい修正方法があります.

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