戦略的な都市モデリングのための統合セット:土地利用とインフラ開発の長期的な影響評価

Fulvio D Lopane^1,2, Eleni Kalantzi¹, Francesca Fermi³

¹Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis, University College London, Gower Street, London, United Kingdom.

PloS one

|August 26, 2025

まとめ

この研究は,大都市部の戦略的都市計画のための統合された土地利用輸送モデルを提示しています. 将来の計画のために人口,雇用,交通インフラのシナリオをうまくモデル化しています.

科学分野:

都市計画と交通モデリング
地図と地域経済
持続可能な開発

背景:

戦略的都市計画には,土地利用と交通の統合モデルが必要です.
大都市圏 (人口100万人以上) では,高度なシミュレーションツールが必要です.
HARMONYプロジェクトは,土地利用と交通の相互作用 (LUTI) のコアモデルを含む都市シミュレーションのためのモデルセットを開発しました.

研究の目的:

大都市部における戦略的都市計画のための統合されたモデルセットを開発し,提示する.
土地利用輸送相互作用 (LUTI) モデルと人口統計経済的モデルとの統合に焦点を当てること.
シナリオ開発のためにトリノの都市部を利用して,これらの統合モデルの適用を実証する.

主な方法:

都市シミュレーションのためのプラグインモデルの統合セットの開発.
土地利用輸送相互作用 (LUTI) モデルに重点を置く
LUTIモデルと人口予測モデル (DFM) と地域経済モデル (REM) の統合

主要な成果:

統合モデル・スイートはトリノの都市圏に適用された.
人口,雇用,新しい交通インフラを予測するシナリオが作成されました.
大都市圏の総合モデルの開発に進展がみられた.

結論:

統合された土地利用輸送モデルは戦略的都市計画に不可欠です
開発されたモデルセットは,将来の都市開発をシミュレートするための枠組みを提供します.
データの変動性や様々なシナリオの必要性により,これらのモデルを一般化することが困難です.

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