2020年から2030年までの心臓血管疾患の世界的予測

Huiqun Yang^1,2,3, Qinghua Ma⁴, Liyuan Han^1,2,3

¹Department of Clinical Epidemiology, Ningbo 2 Hospital, Ningbo, Zhejiang, China.

Frontiers in cardiovascular medicine

|August 27, 2025

まとめ

心血管疾患 (CVD) の負担は2030年までに世界的に増加すると予測され,男性と低所得地域に不釣り合いな影響を与える. リスクの軽減と死亡率の低減には標的を絞った予防と医療の改善が不可欠です

科学分野:

流行病学について
世界保健
予防医療

背景:

心血管疾患 (CVD) は,世界の主要な健康問題です.
CVDの発生率,死亡率,および障害の正確な予測は,公衆衛生の計画に不可欠です.

研究の目的:

2020年から2030年にかけての心臓血管疾患 (CVD) の世界的な負担を予測する.
CVDのリスクの高い集団と地域を特定する.
対象となる公衆衛生の介入と資源の配分を図る

主な方法:

グローバル・バーデン・オブ・ディジーズ (GBD) 2019研究 (1990年−2019年) のデータを活用した.
病気の負荷を予測するために一般化添加モデル (GAM) を採用した.
タイムトレンドを分析するために,推定年率変化 (EAPC) を計算します.

主要な成果:

年齢標準化罹患率 (ASIR) が年間0. 11%増加すると予測されています.
年齢標準化死亡率 (ASDR) の - 1. 11%,DALY率の - 1.04%の減少が予測されています.
男性と社会人口指数 (SDI) の低い地域,特にオセアニアと中央アジアでは2030年までにCVDの負担が高くなります.
カボヴェルデはDALYと死亡率で EAPCが最も高く,スロベニアは発生率が最も高い.

結論:

世界的なCVDの負担は増加すると予想され,大きな格差がある.
男性とSDIが低い地域では集中的な介入が必要である.
主要予防の強化,ジェンダーに特化した戦略の実施,医療サービスが不足している地域での医療アクセス改善は,心血管疾患の減少に不可欠です.
公平な健康成果を出すには世界的な協力と投資が不可欠です

キーワード:

心血管疾患障害調整寿命年数発生率死亡率予測する

さらに関連する動画

13:07

Optical Coherence Tomography Based Biomechanical Fluid-Structure Interaction Analysis of Coronary Atherosclerosis Progression

Published on: January 15, 2022

4.0K

09:09

In Silico Clinical Trials for Cardiovascular Disease

Published on: May 27, 2022

1.8K

関連する概念動画

01:27

Psychoneuroimmunology: Cardiovascular Disease

Psychoneuroimmunology (PNI) is a multidisciplinary field that examines how psychological factors, particularly stress, interact with the immune system and impact physical health. Research in PNI has shown that chronic or traumatic stress can disrupt both the hypothalamic-pituitary-adrenal axis and the sympathetic nervous system. These disruptions contribute to serious health conditions, including cardiovascular diseases.
A key area of focus in PNI is the relationship between stress and coronary...

01:30

Coronary Artery Disease I: Introduction

Coronary Artery Disease (CAD): An Overview with Scientific InsightsCoronary Artery Disease (CAD), often referred to as C-A-D, is a prevalent blood vessel disorder classified under the broader category of atherosclerosis. Atherosclerosis is a pathological process characterized by the hardening and narrowing of arteries due to the accumulation of atherosclerotic plaques. These plaques are composed of cholesterol, fatty substances, inflammatory cells, calcium, and fibrin, reducing blood flow to...

01:30

Factors Influencing Heart Rate

4.4K

The heart rate, or pulse rate, is a vital indicator of cardiovascular health. It reflects the number of times the heart beats per minute. Various physiological and environmental factors influence heart rate, increasing or decreasing cardiac output. Understanding these factors is crucial for assessing heart function and identifying potential health issues.
Let us explore the significant factors affecting heart rate, including age, body temperature, posture, acute pain, chemical influences,...

4.4K

01:26

Coronary Artery Disease II: Pathophysiology

Coronary Artery Disease (CAD) originates from a series of events that impair the function of coronary arteries, the blood vessels responsible for delivering oxygen-rich blood to the heart muscle. The pathophysiology of CAD is closely linked to atherosclerosis, a chronic inflammatory and lipid-driven condition affecting the vascular endothelium.1. Endothelial DamageThe process begins with damage to the vascular endothelium, which serves as a protective barrier between the blood and the vessel...

01:20

Blood Studies for Cardiovascular System I: Cardiac Biomarkers

334

Cardiac biomarkers are enzymes, proteins, and hormones released into the blood when cardiac cells are injured. They are powerful tools for triaging.
The essential diagnostic tools for detecting myocardial necrosis and monitoring individuals suspected of having acute coronary syndrome (ACS) include:
Troponins
Troponins, particularly cardiac troponins I and T, are the most precise and sensitive markers of myocardial injury. They are detectable within 4-6 hours of myocardial injury and remain...

334

01:18

Cardiovascular Drugs: Classification based on Therapeutic Indications

3.2K

Cardiovascular diseases, encompassing a range of conditions, can significantly affect the heart's operations and the overall circulatory system. These conditions impair the heart's ability to pump blood, leading to a deficit in oxygen supply to crucial organs. Anomalies in the heart's electrical system, known as arrhythmias, can cause heartbeats to accelerate or slow down. Usually, heart rates increase during physical activity and decrease while resting or sleeping. However,...