韓国における2019年コロナウイルス感染症の流行と自殺率:発症と終結のタイムシリーズ分析
Jeong Hun Yang1, Gahui Yoon2, Sang Jin Rhee2
1Department of Psychiatry, Chungnam National University Sejong Hospital, Sejong, South Korea; Department of Statistics and Data Science, Korea National Open University, Seoul, South Korea.
Asian journal of psychiatry
|August 31, 2025
まとめ
2019年のコロナウイルス感染症の流行により,韓国人の自殺率は全体的に減少しました. しかし,特定のグループ,特に女性と若い男性は, 顕著な増加を経験し, 差異的な影響を強調しました.
科学分野:
- 公衆衛生
- 流行病学
- メンタルヘルスの研究
背景:
- 2019年新型コロナウイルス感染症 (COVID-19) は,世界的な健康に深刻な影響を及ぼしています.
- パンデミックが精神衛生に及ぼす影響,特に自殺率を理解することは 標的を絞った介入に不可欠です.
研究 の 目的:
- 韓国における自殺死亡率に対するCOVID-19の影響について調査する.
- この効果を異なる年齢と性別の集団で,中断されたタイムシリーズ分析を用いて分析する.
主な方法:
- 韓国の2012年から2023年 (144ヶ月) の毎月の自殺死亡率データを活用した.
- パンデミック前,パンデミック後期における使用中断タイムシリーズ (ITS) 分析.
- 性別と年齢に特化した16の回帰モデルでシナリオとコシナリオを用い,季節性について制御した.
主要な成果:
- パンデミック前期と後期と比較して,全体的な自殺率は減少した.
- 男性は,自殺率やパンデミックに関連する傾向に大きな変化を示さなかった.
- 女性の自殺率はパンデミック初期に増加し,特定のサブグループ (若い男性,様々な女性の年齢層) は著しい増加または上昇傾向を示した.
結論:
- COVID-19 パンデミックは,韓国のさまざまな人口層における自殺率に様々な影響を及ぼしました.
- 全体的な割合は減少したが,特定の脆弱なグループ,特に女性および一部の若い男性集団は,パンデミック発生時およびその後,自殺のリスクが増加した.
- 既にある若い女性の増加傾向は,パンデミックによって悪化した根本的な問題を示唆しています.
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