推しと引き: 代表民主主義とそのライバルに対する支持に対する政治的不信の静的・動的影響
Tom W G van der Meer1, Lisa A Janssen2
1Department of Political Science, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
まとめ
政治的不信感は 市民を 代表的な民主主義から遠ざけるのです 直接民主主義のような代替案への支持は 個人の政治観に左右され,特にその効果が高く,民衆主義的な傾向がある人々には特にそうである.
科学分野:
- 政治科学
- 比較政治
- 公衆の意見
背景:
- 政治的不信感はしばしば 制度改革の要求と結びついています
- 不信任が市民を特定の代替ガバナンスモデル (直接民主主義,テクノクラシー,権威主義) に導くかどうかについては,学術的なコンセンサスが欠けている.
研究 の 目的:
- 代表的民主主義と代替的意思決定モデルとの間の微小レベルの関係を調査する.
- 代替モデルの魅力は市民の政治的効果と民衆主義的な傾向に左右されるかどうかを判断する.
- 信頼の低下と信頼の低下を区別する
主な方法:
- 4つのヨーロッパ諸国 (イギリス,オランダ,スウェーデン,ポルトガル) の3波パネル調査データの分析.
- 異なる信頼のダイナミクスを分離するためのランダム効果の推定モデル (REWB)
- 政治的効果とポピュリストの態度が変化への支持に与える条件を検証する.
主要な成果:
- 政治的な不信感は,現状 (代表的民主主義) の支持を無条件に減少させる.
- 不信任は 単一の代替モデルへの支持を 均等に増加させないのです
- 政治的な不信感は,特に政治的効果が高く,民衆主義的な方向性を持つ市民の間で,直接民主主義への支持を最も強く促進します.
結論:
- 不信任は 代表的民主主義の押し付け要因として作用するが 代替案への普遍的な引き寄せではない.
- 代替ガバナンスモデルの魅力は 個々の政治的意志に左右されます
- 不信任がより大きな直接的な政治的影響力への欲求を助長する"不満の民主主義者"の理論を支持する.
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