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Updated: Sep 9, 2025

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An R-Based Landscape Validation of a Competing Risk Model
Published on: September 16, 2022
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拡大する都市における包括的なリスク情報に基づくインフラ開発へ
Fabrizio Nocera1, Yahya Gamal2,3, Chenbo Wang1
1Department of Civil, Environmental and Geomatic Engineering, University College London, London, UK.
Communications engineering
|September 2, 2025
まとめ
この研究は,自然災害と並行して社会経済的影響を考慮した都市インフラ計画の新しい枠組みを導入します. 成長する都市で より包括的で リスクに敏感な開発を 支援します
科学分野:
- 都市計画と開発
- 社会経済モデリング
- リスク評価
背景:
- 現在の自然災害リスクモデルでは インフラデザインの社会経済的な影響が無視されています
- 南部の都市拡大は 開発とリスクのバランスをとる上で ユニークな課題に直面しています
研究 の 目的:
- 都市インフラの開発に 人を中心とした意思決定の枠組みを提案する.
- 社会経済的な影響と自然災害リスクをインフラ計画に組み込む.
主な方法:
- 土地価値と住宅選択に対するインフラ拡張効果をシミュレートするために,特製のエージェントベースのモデルを開発しました.
- 自然災害によるマクロスケールの社会経済的影響とインフラ性能
- グローバル・サウス・コンテキストをシミュレートする仮想都市テストベッドでの最適化輸送拡大.
主要な成果:
- フレームワークは,インフラによって影響される動的な土地価値と住宅地決定を成功裏にモデル化しています.
- インフラストラクチャの運用需要と自然災害による潜在的な損失のバランスをとります.
- 代表的な都市環境での輸送拡大の最適化が実証された.
結論:
- 提案された枠組みは,包括的でリスクに敏感な都市インフラ計画への新しいアプローチを提供します.
- リスクインフォームド・開発における 意図せざる社会経済的な結果に対応します
- 特に南部の 急速に成長する危険な都市に 適用できます
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