賃貸市場リスクと過激な右派支持
Tarik Abou-Chadi1, Denis Cohen2, Thomas Kurer3
1University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
まとめ
都市部での賃金の上昇は 低所得で長期にわたる住民の間で 極右政党への支持を高めています 都市開発が経済的不安や政治的変化の 重要な原動力であることを強調しています
科学分野:
- 政治科学
- 都市研究
- 経済学
背景:
- 既存の研究は 主に労働市場の変化を通じて 経済的な脅威と 反体制政党の支持を結びつけています
- 都市開発と家賃の上昇は 経済的な不安の原因としてあまり研究されていない.
研究 の 目的:
- 都市開発と賃貸価格の上昇が政治関係に与える影響を調査する.
- 賃料の上昇が反体制政党への支持に影響を与えているかどうかを確認する.
主な方法:
- 個別レベルでのジオリファレンスのパネルデータを利用した.
- 郵便番号レベルでの賃貸住宅費用に関する縦断データ
- レンタル住宅の普及率が高いドイツを中心とした分析.
主要な成果:
- 地方の賃料水準の上昇は 極右政党の支持率の上昇と相関していることが示されました
- 家庭の収入が低い長期在住者の間でこの効果が最も強く確認されました.
- この傾向は特に都市部に 集中している.
結論:
- 都市開発とそれに伴う賃料上昇は,以前見過ごされていた経済不安を助長する重要な要因です.
- これらの要因は,政治的景観と政党支持に顕著な影響を及ぼします.
- 結果は,政治科学研究で考慮される経済的要因の範囲を拡大する必要性を示唆しています.
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