クリーンな航空産業のための資本と技術の動員
David G Victor1,2,3, Thomas Conlon4, Philipp Goedeking5
1School of Global Policy and Strategy, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA.
まとめ
研究マネージャーと投資家は,スケーラブルで変革的な技術のリスクと報酬を評価するための改善された方法を必要としています. この研究は,より良い意思決定のための技術評価の新しいアプローチを探求しています.
科学分野:
- テクノロジーの管理
- イノベーション経済学
背景:
- スケーラブルで変革的な技術は リスク・ベネフィット・アナリストにとって ユニークな課題です
- 現在の評価枠組みでは,新興技術の複雑さを十分に捉えられないかもしれません.
研究 の 目的:
- 拡張可能で変革的な技術のリスクと潜在的利益の評価のための強化された方法論を開発し,提案する.
- テクノロジー採用と投資に関するより情報に基づいた意思決定を研究マネージャーと投資家に支援する.
主な方法:
- 既存の技術評価の枠組みの見直し
- 拡張可能で変革的な技術に関するケーススタディの分析
- マルチクリテリア決定分析モデルの開発
主要な成果:
- 新興技術の伝統的なリスク・ベネフィット分析の限界を特定した.
- ダイナミックなリスク評価と利益予測を組み込む新しい枠組みを提案した.
- 投資シナリオのシミュレーションで枠組みの適用性を実証した.
結論:
- 拡張可能で変革的な技術の可能性を 正確に評価するには 強化されたアプローチが不可欠です
- 提案された枠組みは,技術投資の意思決定のためのより堅固な方法を提供します.
- 改善された評価ツールは,イノベーションのためのより効果的なリソースの割り当てにつながります.
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