マルチスケール複雑系における経験的相関行列の固有値分布とその金融データへの応用
Luan M T de Moraes1, Antônio M S Macêdo1, Giovani L Vasconcelos2
1Universidade Federal de Pernambuco, Laboratório de Física Teórica e Computacional, Departamento de Física, Recife, 50670-901 PE, Brazil.
Abstract:
We introduce a method for describing eigenvalue distributions of correlation matrices from multidimensional time series. Using our newly developed matrix H theory, we improve the description of eigenvalue spectra for empirical correlation matrices in multivariate financial data by considering an informational cascade modeled as a hierarchical structure akin to the Kolmogorov statistical theory of turbulence. Our approach extends the Marchenko-Pastur distribution to account for distinct characteristic scales, capturing a larger fraction of data variance, and challenging the traditional view of noise-dressed financial markets. We conjecture that the effectiveness of our method stems from the increased complexity in financial markets, reflected by new characteristic scales and the growth of computational trading. These findings not only support the turbulent market hypothesis as a source of noise but also provide a practical framework for noise reduction in empirical correlation matrices, enhancing the inference of true market correlations between assets.
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