中国における環境クズネッツ曲線への挑戦:断面依存性を伴う動的パネル閾値モデルからの証拠
Yi Hu1, Kexin Guan2, Shouyang Wang3
1School of Economics and Management, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100190, China; MOE Social Science Laboratory of Digital Economic Forecasts and Policy Simulation at UCAS, Beijing, 100190, China.
Journal of environmental management
|December 28, 2025
まとめ
環境クズネッツ曲線(EKC)仮説は中国には当てはまらない。経済成長と炭素排出量は、開発と汚染削減の同時進行を可能にする、分離パターンを示している。
背景:
- 環境クズネッツ曲線(EKC)仮説は、経済発展と環境汚染との間の逆U字型の関係を提唱している。
- EKCの適用可能性の評価は、特に中国のような急速に発展している経済国における持続可能な開発戦略にとって極めて重要である。
結論:
- 中国は、経済成長と炭素排出削減を同時に達成する大きな可能性を秘めている。
- 本研究の結果は、的を絞ったエネルギー効率戦略とクリーンエネルギー展開を支持する。
- 本研究の結果は、成長と排出量の分離を達成するための、強化された協調的な地域炭素ガバナンスを提唱するものである。
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