膵臓および膵管周囲腫瘍における手術難易度予測のためのCTラジオミクス・深層学習モデルの開発と検証

Background: Pancreatic and periampullary cancers are common tumors of the digestive tract. As a radical surgical approach, laparoscopic pancreaticoduodenectomy requires crucial preoperative assessment of its surgical difficulty. Materials and methods: A retrospective cohort of 150 patients who underwent LPD between June 2019 and June 2023 was enrolled. The criteria for defining the difficult group were identified as unplanned conversion to open procedure, intraoperative blood loss, and operative time. Participants were randomly allocated to a training set (n = 105) or a testing set (n = 45) in a 7:3 ratio. Hand-crafted radiomics (HCR) features and deep learning-derived radiomics (DLR) features were extracted from portal venous phase CT images, focusing on gross tumor volume and gross peri-tumor volume. A hybrid prediction model was developed using a support vector machine algorithm, with performance evaluated through receiver operating characteristic analysis, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA). Results: The combined model demonstrated significantly superior discriminative ability, achieving an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.942 (95% CI: 0.893-0.992) in the training set and 0.848 (95% CI: 0.738-0.958) in the testing set. This performance exceeded both the standalone HCR model (testing AUC = 0.754) and the DLR model (testing AUC = 0.816). DCA further confirmed the clinical utility of the combined model, showing the highest net benefit across threshold probabilities exceeding 20%. Conclusions: The novel integrated model combining hand-crafted and deep learning-derived radiomics features enables effective prediction of surgical difficulty in laparoscopic pancreaticoduodenectomy.