リベリアにおけるラッサ熱の症候学、ウイルス動態、および宿主免疫応答（PREPARE）：リベリアにおける前向き観察コホート研究

Lassa virus (LASV) is a persistent threat to public health in west Africa and beyond. LASV is endemic in west Africa and each year it is responsible for an estimated 2·7 million infections, 23 700 hospitalisations, and 5000 deaths. With over 32 reported cases of Lassa fever imported into non-endemic countries-one-third of which were fatal-the importance of enhanced detection and management of Lassa fever extends beyond west Africa.

The prevalence, pathogenesis, and persistence (PREPARE) study was a prospective cohort study among patients admitted to two hospitals in a hyperendemic area of Liberia. Any patients aged 5 years or older with a febrile illness were eligible to enrol and be tested for Lassa fever. The study aimed to measure the prevalence of LASV infection and assess the signs and symptoms, LASV viral replication kinetics, and LASV-specific IgM and IgG responses longitudinally among adults and children with laboratory-confirmed Lassa fever.

From July 10, 2018, to Aug 12, 2024, a total of 435 participants were enrolled, including 362 admitted with a febrile illness and 73 who were directly admitted with clinical suspicion for Lassa fever. Lassa fever was diagnosed by plasma LASV RT-PCR in 41 (11%) of 362 febrile participants and 47 (64%) of 73 participants directly admitted with suspected Lassa fever, resulting in a total of 88 cases of confirmed Lassa fever. At entry, anorexia (71 [81%] of 88 vs 178 [51%] of 347), severe fatigue or weakness (63 [72%] vs 178 [51%]), and nausea or vomiting (39 [44%] vs 95 [27%]) were more likely to be reported by participants with Lassa fever than by participants who tested LASV RNA negative. Among the participants with Lassa fever, 11 (13%) of 88 died after admission. Mental status changes, seizures, acute kidney failure, hyperkalaemia, and metabolic acidosis were more frequent in patients with Lassa fever who died than in patients who survived. Median cycle threshold values at study entry for glycoprotein complex gene (GPC) or polymerase gene (L) were lower in those who died (GPC cycle threshold 22·4 [IQR 20·0-27·9]; L cycle threshold 21·7 [19·0-27·7]) than in those who survived (GPC cycle threshold 31·5 [28·0-33·9]; L cycle threshold 32·3 [28·0-33·9]). Among the 70 participants with Lassa fever who consented to longitudinal follow-up through their hospitalisation, seven died and these participants tended to have lower cycle threshold values and lower IgM and IgG LASV responses compared with survivors.

In a region of Liberia where it is endemic, Lassa fever is a prevalent cause of morbidity and mortality. Several symptoms were more likely in those with Lassa fever but overlap with those caused by other common infectious diseases. Compared with survivors, those who died during hospitalisation for Lassa fever tended to have evidence of organ dysfunction along with higher viral loads at study entry and during follow-up and lower antibody levels during their illness, suggesting a muted humoral immune response might be a factor in the development of severe Lassa fever.

US National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases and National Institutes of Health.