NEJM画像チャレンジにおける大規模言語モデルの診断性能：人間の評価者との比較研究およびプロンプトエンジニアリングの影響

Multimodal large language models (LLMs) that can interpret clinical text and images are emerging as potential decision-support tools, yet their accuracy on standardized cases and how it compares with human performance across different difficulty levels remains largely unclear. This study aimed to rigorously evaluate the performance of four leading LLMs on the 200-item New England Journal of Medicine (NEJM) Image Challenge.

We assessed OpenAI o4-mini-high, Claude 4 Opus, Gemini 2.5 Pro, and Qwen 3, and benchmarked the top model against three medical students (Years 5-7) and an internal-medicine attending physician under identical test conditions. Additionally, we characterized the dominant error types for OpenAI o4-mini-high and tested prompt engineering strategies for potential correction.

Our results suggest that OpenAI o4-mini-high achieved the highest overall accuracy of 94%. Its performance remained consistently high across easy, moderate, and difficult cases. The human accuracies in this cohort ranged from 38.5% for three medical students to 70.5% for an attending physician-all significantly lower than OpenAI o4-mini-high. An analysis of OpenAI o4-mini-high's 12 errors revealed that most (83.3%) were outputs reflecting lapses in diagnostic logic rather than input processing. Notably, simple prompting techniques like chain-of-thought and few-shot learning corrected over half of these initial errors.

Within the context of this standardized challenge, a leading multimodal LLM delivered high diagnostic accuracy that surpassed the scores of both peer models and the recruited human participants. However, these results should be interpreted as evidence of pattern recognition capabilities rather than human-like clinical understanding. While further validation on real-world data is warranted, these findings support the potential utility of LLMs in educational and standardized settings, highlighting that most residual errors are due to logic gaps that can be partly mitigated by refined user prompting, emphasizing the importance of human-AI interaction for maximizing reliability.