p値の二分法を超えて:統計的推論のための代替案-批判的レビュー
Matheus Hissa Lourenço Ferreira1, Lucas Caseri Câmara2, Nelson Carvas Junior3,4
1Federal University of Minas Gerais (UFMG), Belo Horizonte, MG, Brazil.
Journal of evaluation in clinical practice
|February 4, 2026
まとめ
p値
科学分野:
- 健康科学およびスポーツ科学における統計的推論。科学研究における方法論的進歩。
背景:
- p値は統計的有意性のための伝統的な指標です。その二分法的な解釈は、不確実性を単純化しすぎ、科学的推論を歪めるとして批判されています。
研究 の 目的:
- 唯一の有意性基準としてのp値の限界を批判的に分析します。統計的推論のための堅牢な方法論的代替案について議論します。
主な方法:
- PubMed/MEDLINEからの批判的文献レビュー(2015-2025)。p値の解釈に関するレビュー、編集記事、ガイドライン、エッセイが含まれています。批判的評価チェックリストを使用して46本の論文を評価しました。
主要な成果:
- 研究の82.6%が、孤立した/二分法的なp値の使用を批判しました。p値を単独の意思決定基準として支持する論文はありませんでした。推奨事項には、「統計的に有意」という用語の放棄、効果量の優先、およびベイズ手法の使用が含まれます。
結論:
- 二値的なp < 0.05の論理を超えて進むことが重要です。透明性を高め、バイアスを減らし、統計学を科学的関連性と一致させます。健康科学およびスポーツ科学の研究に不可欠です。
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