バイオット-ガスマン流体置換法と機械学習ベースの速度-ストレス関係を統合して,インシチューストレスを推定する
Ayyaz Mustafa1, Guanyi Lu1, Andrew P Bunger1,2
1Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh 15261, Pennsylvania, United States.
ACS omega
|February 16, 2026
まとめ
この研究は,乾燥岩のデータから得られた低周波音速を用いて,in situストレスを予測するためのマシン/ディープラーニング (ML/DL) モデルを強化しています. 改善されたワークフローは,地表下のストレスを正確に推定し,地熱エネルギー探査を進めています.
科学分野:
- 地質物理学と岩石力学について
- 地球科学における機械学習の応用
背景:
- 地熱エネルギー抽出を含む地下工学において,正確なインシット・ストレスの見積もりは極めて重要です.
- 伝統的な方法は,しばしば飽和岩のデータに依存しますが,低周波の解釈は,乾燥岩の特性から利益を得ることができます.
- 局所ストレスの予測のための速度-ストレスの関係に対する周波数分散の影響は,まだ開かれた問題です.
研究 の 目的:
- 機械/ディープラーニング (ML/DL) ワークフローをインシットストレスの予測のために強化する.
- ML/DLモデルのトレーニングのために,乾燥岩のデータからバイオット・ガスマン派生の等価飽和速度を使用する有効性を調査する.
- 低周波音速が,in situストレス予測の精度に与える影響を評価する.
主な方法:
- ドライコアサンプルから様々なストレス構成下での真の三軸超音速 (TUV) データを取得する.
- 乾燥岩の超音波速度から等価な飽和速度を導出するために,Bio-Gassmann流体置換の適用.
- ユタ州FORGEサイトコアから派生した低周波相当の飽和速度とTUVデータを用いてML/DLモデルのトレーニングと検証.
主要な成果:
- 同等な飽和速度で訓練されたML/DLモデルは,in situのストレスに対する高い予測性能を達成しました.
- 検証/試験により,垂直,最小水平,最大水平の張力に対して,それぞれ0.86,0.971,0.975のR二乗値が得られました.
- シェープリー添加式説明 (SHAP) 分析により,モデルの信頼性が確認され,速度-ストレス関係に関する科学的理解が向上しました.
結論:
- 乾燥した岩からの低周波音速を使用した強化されたML / DLワークフローは,in situストレスの予測のための実行可能で正確な方法です.
- このアプローチは,地表下の地質学的な環境における低周波測定を解釈するための信頼できる代替案を提供します.
- この研究は,BIOT-ガスマン理論とML/DLを組み合わせて,強固な地質学的ストレス分析を行うことの有効性を検証しています.
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