中国の電力システムにおけるエネルギー移行の課題とその排出削減への影響
Wenhan Xi1,2, Jingxu Wang1,2, Bingqi Xu1,2
1State Key Laboratory of Physical Oceanography and Frontier Science Center for Deep Ocean Multispheres and Earth System (FDOMES), Ocean University of China, Qingdao 266100, China.
iScience
|February 20, 2026
まとめ
中国 中国 中国 中国 中国.
科学分野:
- 環境科学 環境科学
- エネルギー政策 エネルギー政策
- 気候変動の緩和 気候変動の緩和
背景:
- 中国の第14期と第15期は,加速された電力システムのエネルギー移行を義務付けている.
- 第13次五年計画では,2030年までに風力発電と太陽光発電の統合に伴う課題を示しています.
- 中国南西,古い産業基地,その他の地域のような特定の地域は,重要な移行圧力に直面しています.
研究 の 目的:
- 2030年までに中国の電力システムエネルギー移行の課題と機会を分析する.
- 強化された政策シナリオの下での潜在的な排出削減を評価する.
- 移行の影響と緩和貢献における地域格差を特定する.
主な方法:
- 第13次五年計画期間に基づくトレンド分析.
- 2023年から2030年までの強化された政策移行のためのシナリオモデリング.
- 地域による排出削減への貢献の評価 (SO2,NOx,PM10,PM2.5)
主要な成果:
- 風力発電と太陽光発電への移行は,特に中国南西部,その他の地域,古い産業基地では,課題を提示しています.
- 強化された政策シナリオ (2023-2030) は,SO2 (49.3%),NOx (34.6%),PM10 (37.8%),PM2.5 (37.9%) の排出量を大幅に削減することができる.
- 中国南西部はSO2削減でリードし,東海岸地域はNOx,PM10,PM2.5削減でリードしています.
結論:
- 地域に合わせた電力システムの移行経路は,中国のエネルギー目標にとって極めて重要です.
- 地域的な課題に対処し,排出削減の恩恵を最大化するために,ターゲット化された政策が必要である.
- この研究は,国家エネルギー戦略において地理的特異性を考慮することの重要性を強調している.
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