高次元神経画像メディエーターを用いたネットワーク支援媒介分析

Mediation analysis is a widely used statistical approach to estimate the causal pathways through which an exposure affects an outcome via intermediate variables, i.e., mediators. In many applications, high-dimensional correlated biomarkers are potential mediators, posing challenges to standard mediation analysis approaches. However, some of these biomarkers, such as neuroimaging measures across brain regions, often exhibit hierarchical network structures that can be leveraged to advance mediation analysis. In this paper, we aim to study how brain cortical thickness, characterized by a star-shaped hierarchical network structure, mediates the effect of maternal smoking on children's cognitive abilities within the adolescent brain cognitive development (ABCD) study. We propose a network-assisted mediation analysis approach based on a conditional Gaussian graphical model to account for the star-shaped network structure of neuroimaging mediators. Within our framework, the joint indirect effect of these mediators is decomposed into the indirect effect through hub mediators and the indirect effects solely through each leaf mediator. This decomposition provides mediator-specific insights and informs efficient intervention designs. Additionally, after accounting for hub mediators, the indirect effects solely through each leaf mediator can be identified and evaluated individually, thereby addressing the challenges of high-dimensional correlated mediators. In our study, our proposed approach identifies a brain region as a significant leaf mediator, a finding that existing approaches cannot discover.