まとめ
前立腺がんの死亡率は黒人男性では急激に増加しており,最も一般的ながんとなっています. しかし,出生コホートの分析は,新しい世代が高齢化するにつれて,この傾向がすぐに逆転する可能性があることを示唆しています.
科学分野:
- 腫瘍学 腫瘍学
- エピデミオロジー エピデミオロジー
- 公衆衛生は公衆衛生である.
背景:
- 前立腺がんの年齢調整による死亡率は,近年,黒人の間で著しく増加しています.
- 現在,前立腺がんは,米国における黒人男性の中で最も多いがん診断である.
- 白人の死亡率は安定している.
研究 の 目的:
- 異なる人種集団における前立腺がん死亡率の動向を調査する.
- 前立腺がんによる非白人死亡率に対する年齢と出生コホートの影響を分析する.
- コーホート分析に基づいて前立腺がん死亡率の将来の傾向を予測する.
主な方法:
- 前立腺がんの年齢調整による死亡率の分析.
- 非白人集団における年齢と出生コホートによる死亡率の調査.
- 前立腺がんの発生率と死亡率の傾向分析.
主要な成果:
- 前立腺がんの死亡率は黒人男性では劇的に上昇しているが,白人男性では安定している.
- 非白人集団のピーク死亡率は,1896年から1900年の出生コホートで観察されました.
- 死亡率は,すべての年齢層においてこのピークコホート後に減少した.
結論:
- 観測された傾向は,前立腺がんによる死亡率の増加を阻止し,逆転させる可能性があることを示唆しています.
- この逆転は,異なるリスク因子被曝度を持つ可能性のある最近の非白人コホートが,ピークリスクの年齢層に達するにつれて予想されます.
- コホート特異的な危険因子に関するさらなる研究が必要である.
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