1979年のスヴェルドロフスクの炭菌の発生は,
M Meselson1, J Guillemin, M Hugh-Jones
1Department of Molecular and Cellular Biology, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA 02138.
まとめ
スヴェルドロフスクでの異常な炭菌の発生は,軍施設からのエアロゾール放出によって引き起こされた可能性があり,汚染された肉ではありません. 伝播パターンは,風向きに一致し,空中伝播病原体理論を裏付けている.
科学分野:
- エピデミオロジー エピデミオロジー
- 微生物学 微生物学とは
- 公衆衛生は公衆衛生である.
背景:
- 1979年4月~5月にスヴェルドロフスクで炭菌の流行が発生しました.
- ソビエト連邦の公式報告では,汚染された肉が原因であると指摘した.
- 米国当局は,軍事施設から炭菌胞子が偶然に放出されたことを示唆した.
研究 の 目的:
- 1979年のスヴェルドロフスク炭病流行の原因を調査する.
- 疫病の発生源に関する競合する仮説を評価する.
主な方法:
- 疫学データの分析.
- 被害者の位置と風のパターンとの相関.
- 人間と家畜の症例の地理的マッピング.
主要な成果:
- ほとんどのヒト症例は,軍事施設から広がる狭いゾーンに集中していた.
- このゾーンの延長軸に沿って家畜の死亡が発生しました.
- 影響を受けたゾーンは,発生前に優勢だった北風の方向に整列していた.
結論:
- この発見は,軍用施設から炭菌病原体エアロゾールの偶然の放出を強く支持している.
- スヴェルドロフスクの炭病の流行の最も可能性の高い原因は,空中感染である.
- 汚染された肉は,症例の空間的分布に基づいて,可能性の低い源です.
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