発展途上国における人口政策の選択肢
1Research Division, Population Council, New York, NY 10017.
まとめ
世界の人口は急速に増加しており,発展途上国が成長の原動力となっている. 家族計画が役立つ一方で,将来の人口増加と出生需要を管理するために,新しい戦略が不可欠です.
科学分野:
- デモグラフィー デモグラフィー 人口統計
- グローバル・ヘルス グローバル・ヘルス
背景:
- 発展途上国の人口は急速に拡大しており,2100年までに102億人に達すると予測されています.
- 過去の人口制御の取り組みは,主に家族計画プログラムに焦点を当てていました.
- ファミリープランニングは,出生率の低下に部分的な成功を示している.
研究 の 目的:
- 現在の人口増加戦略の有効性を分析する.
- 家族計画以外の政策オプションの必要性を特定する.
主な方法:
- 歴史的な人口増加データのレビュー.
- 家族計画プログラムの出生率への影響の分析.
- 代替政策措置の可能性の評価.
主要な成果:
- 家族計画プログラムは,全体的な人口増加に限られた影響を及ぼしてきました.
- 現在の介入にもかかわらず,依然として人口の増加が予想されます.
- 家族計画への投資だけでは,経済成長を抑制するには不十分です.
結論:
- 人口増加に対処するために,追加的な政策措置が緊急に必要とされています.
- 戦略は,出産の需要を減らすことに焦点を当てなければならない.
- 人口の勢いを制限することは,将来の人口管理に不可欠です.
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