在新马德里地震区的缓慢变形和较低的地震危险
1Department of Geological Sciences, Northwestern University, Evanston, IL, 60208, USA. Department of Geology, Grand Valley State University, Allendale, MI 49401, USA. Department of Geological Sciences, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO.
概括
全球定位系统 (GPS) 数据显示,新马德里地震区 (NMSZ) 的运动最小. 这表明,NMSZ的大型地震的地震危险可能被高估了,挑战了以前的假设.
科学领域:
- 地质物理学 地质物理学
- 地震学 地震学
- 板块构造学是一种板块构造学.
背景情况:
- 位于美国中部的新马德里地震区 (NMSZ) 是一个具有历史意义的地震活动区域.
- 之前对NMSZ地震危险的评估经常假定过去的大地震的强度很高.
研究的目的:
- 通过分析当前的地理数据,重新评估新马德里地震区 (NMSZ) 的地震危险.
- 根据新的证据,评估NMSZ的大型地震的复发间隔.
主要方法:
- 在NMSZ中对全球定位系统 (GPS) 连续测量的分析.
- 将NMSZ的GPS数据与全盘GPS数据进行比较.
- 频率-幅度关系应用于地震性数据的应用.
主要成果:
- GPS测量显示,在NMSZ内地的运动很少或根本没有.
- 这些发现与全盘GPS数据一致,显示没有显著的运动.
- 在NMSZ中8级地震的暗示复发间隔超过2500年,比以前假设的更长.
结论:
- 在NMSZ中发生大地震所带来的地震危险可能被高估了.
- 过去在NMSZ发生的大型地震可能比人们普遍认为的要小.
- 目前的地理测量数据不支持NMSZ的高滑动率模型.
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