联合国维和行动中的死亡率趋势,1948-1998年
1Center for Refugee and Disaster Studies, 615 N Wolfe St, Baltimore, MD 21205, USA.
JAMA
|August 5, 2000
概括
联合国 (联合国) 维和人员死亡人数在冷战后增加,原因是任务规模更大,而不是个人风险更高. 在人道主义任务中的维和人员面临来自敌对行动的风险增加.
科学领域:
- 全球健康 全球健康
- 国际关系 国际关系
- 和平与冲突研究 和平与冲突研究
背景情况:
- 冷战后联合国 (联合国) 维和人员死亡人数的增加引起了部队贡献国的犹.
- 尽管增加了任务规模,但数据并未证实维和人员面临的风险更高.
研究的目的:
- 分析联合国维和行动特征与死亡率之间的关联.
- 为了比较冷战期间的风险与冷战后的风险.
主要方法:
- 在49个联合国维和任务 (1948-1998) 中,对1559名人员死亡的描述性分析.
- 根据情况检查死亡人数,原始死亡率和相对风险.
- 回归分析评估了任务力量,持续时间和人道主义任务对死亡的影响.
主要成果:
- 1990年以后的十年发生的死亡人数比前40年更多,但原始死亡率仍然相似.
- 冷战后的敌对行为增加了 (RR 1.51),而无意的暴力减少了 (RR 0.79),但在某些地区仍然很高.
- 任务的强度和持续时间与死亡总数有显著的相关性.
结论:
- 1990年以后联合国维和人员死亡人数的增加是由于任务数量更多和规模更大,而不是个人风险增加.
- 在冷战后的任务中,维和人员面临来自敌对行动的更高风险,特别是在需要更多力量的行动中.
- 人道主义援助任务与所有原因死亡率和敌对行为的死亡风险增加有关.
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