板内地震的机械模型:适用于新的马德里地震区
概括
一个新的地震模型解释了重复发生的板内部地震事件,使用弱弱的下层地. 该模型与新马德里地震区的数据一致,这表明目前的应变率可能无法预测未来的破坏性地震.
科学领域:
- 地质物理学 地质物理学
- 地震学 地震学
- 构造学 构造学 构造学 构造学
背景情况:
- 内板地震带来了重大的地震危险.
- 了解驱动反复发生的板内地震活动的机制对于危险评估至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 为反复发生的板内地震提供一个依赖时间的模型.
- 在弹性石模型中纳入一个弱弱的下层地区域.
- 模拟地震序列并将其与来自新马德里地震区的观测结果进行比较.
主要方法:
- 开发了一种依赖时间的地震生成模型.
- 包括一个弱弱的下层地区和一个弹性石化层.
- 基于材料参数和远场应力,模拟地震序列.
主要成果:
- 该模型预测大滑动事件 (5-10米) 的复发间隔为250-4000年.
- 模拟的累积偏移达到大约100米.
- 结果与新马德里地震区的地震强度,滑动,复发,偏移和变形率一致.
结论:
- 较弱的下地区域的放松可以驱动反复发生的板内地震.
- 观测到的低间地震应变率并不排除未来的破坏性地震.
- 该模型为理解板块内地震性及其相关危险提供了一个框架.
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