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Published on: March 18, 2011
瑞典最大寿命的增加,1861-1999年
J R Wilmoth1, L J Deegan, H Lundström
1Department of Demography, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720-2120, USA. jrw@demog.berkeley.edu
概括
人类的寿命不是固定的. 瑞典的最高死亡年龄显著增加,主要是由于老年人死亡率降低和老年生存率提高.
科学领域:
- 老年学是一门学科.
- 人口统计学 人口统计学
- 死亡率研究 死亡率研究
背景情况:
- 调查是否存在不可变的最大人类寿命是衰老研究中的一个关键问题.
- 关于最高死亡年龄的历史数据提供了对潜在的生物和社会限制的见解.
研究的目的:
- 分析瑞典从1860年代到1990年代的最高死亡年龄的趋势.
- 确定在这一时期最大寿命变化的因素.
主要方法:
- 对瑞典历史死亡率数据的分析.
- 检查不同年龄组死亡率的变化.
- 计算各种因素对最高死亡年龄上升的贡献.
主要成果:
- 瑞典的最高死亡年龄从20世纪60年代的约101岁增加到20世纪90年代的108岁.
- 增长速度在1969年之后加速,老年死亡率下降的速度更快.
- 70岁以上的死亡率下降占死亡最高年龄上升的70%以上.
结论:
- 人类的最大寿命似乎是可以延长的,挑战了固定的生物界限的概念.
- 老年死亡率的改善是增加最大寿命的主要驱动因素.
- 进一步减少与年龄相关的死亡率可能会导致人类最大寿命的持续增加.
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