平均气候变化对155年热带太平洋珊瑚记录气候变化的影响
F E Urban1, J E Cole, J T Overpeck
1Department of Geological Sciences/INSTAAR, University of Colorado, Boulder 80309, USA.
Nature
|November 9, 2000
概括
厄尔尼诺/南方振荡 (ENSO) 系统
科学领域:
- 气候科学 气候科学
- 古气候学 古气候学
- 海洋学 海洋学 海洋学
背景情况:
- 厄尔尼诺/南方振荡 (ENSO) 驱动着全球气候变化.
- 长期的ENSO行为及其驱动因素仍然不太清楚.
- 1976年热带太平洋气候发生了重大变化.
研究的目的:
- 使用珊瑚数据重建155年的ENSO行为.
- 调查热带太平洋气候和ENSO变异性的长期变化.
- 探索区域平均气候和ENSO变异性之间的联系.
主要方法:
- 从中部热带太平洋珊瑚中开发了一个155年的ENSO重建.
- 分析了区域平均气候和ENSO随时间变化的变化.
- 与ENSO变化模式的变化相关的气候变化.
主要成果:
- 确定了20世纪初逐渐过渡到更温暖,更潮湿的条件.
- 记录了1976年突然转向更温暖,更潮湿的条件.
- 观察到与背景气候条件相关的独特ENSO变化模式 (例如,19世纪的十年,20世纪初的~2.9年周期,1976年后的~4年周期).
结论:
- 热带太平洋的气候变化与该地区的平均气候状态密切相关.
- 观察到的气候变化,自然和人为,都影响了ENSO的行为.
- 珊瑚重建提供了对ENSO长期动态和气候相互作用的关键见解.
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