皇帝企和气候变化
1Centre d'Etudes Biologiques de Chizé, Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, Villiers en Bois, France. barbraud@tour-du-valat.com
Nature
|May 11, 2001
概括
皇帝企数量下降了50%,这是由于与更温暖的海洋和更少的海冰相关的成年人生存率下降. 这突出了皇帝企的特点.
科学领域:
- 海洋生物学 海洋生物学
- 气候科学是气候科学.
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
背景情况:
- 海洋 - 大气相互作用对南洋海冰和生态系统产生重大影响.
- 预测气候变化对海洋捕食者的影响需要长期的人口统计数据.
- 皇帝企 (Aptenodytes forsteri) 是对环境变化敏感的关键南极捕食者.
研究的目的:
- 研究海洋学变化对皇帝企的长期人口影响.
- 分析海冰面积,海面温度以及企的生存和繁殖之间的关系.
主要方法:
- 利用了皇帝企人口统计参数 (超过50年) 最长的可用时间序列.
- 与历史海面温度和海冰面积数据相关的人口变化.
- 分析了基于性别和环境条件的差异性死亡率和生殖成功率.
主要成果:
- 在Terre Adélie的皇帝企数量在50年内减少了50%.
- 成人生存率的显著下降发生在20世纪70年代末的温暖时期,海冰减少.
- 增加的死亡率与温暖的海面温度和减少的海冰面积有关,男性的比例更高;在冬季海冰延长的情况下,化蛋的数量更少.
结论:
- 大规模的海洋学过程和海冰动态强烈影响皇帝企人口统计.
- 皇帝企对气候变化影响具有很高的敏感性.
- 环境变化对皇帝企种群的长期生存构成重大威胁.
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