在高度的平流层素中,臭氧的减少
M J Prather1, M B McElroy, S C Wofsy
1Center for Earth and Planetary Physics, Harvard University, Cambridge, Massachusetts 02138, USA.
Nature
|November 15, 1984
概括
无机水平的上升可能会使平流层臭氧显著减少15%以上. 这种臭氧损耗可能会在本世纪中叶发生,每年碳化合物排放量增加3%,可能会因碳化合物释放而恶化.
科学领域:
- 大气化学 大气化学
- 石流层科学 石流层科学
- 臭氧层研究 臭氧层研究
背景情况:
- 平流层的化学平衡对反应性素化合物很敏感.
- 臭氧层的枯竭对地球上的生命构成风险.
- 人为排放将破坏臭氧层的物质引入大气.
研究的目的:
- 为了研究增加无机对较低平流层化学的潜在影响.
- 量化由于碳化合物排放导致臭氧柱密度的潜在减少.
- 评估碳释放对臭氧水平的额外影响.
主要方法:
- 低层平流层的化学建模.
- 在各种排放场景下对臭氧柱密度的预测.
- 对素化学相互作用的分析.
主要成果:
- 预计低平流层化学物质的显著变化与高的无机.
- 在特定的排放条件下,臭氧柱密度可以减少15%以上.
- 工业碳释放可能会加剧臭氧层的损耗.
结论:
- 增加的无机度对臭氧层构成重大威胁.
- 预计的碳化合物排放量增长可能会导致21世纪中叶显著的臭氧损失.
- 碳化合物和碳化合物的联合作用可能严重影响平流层臭氧的恢复.
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