在过去的40年里,海平面上升是从卫星和实地观测中确定的
C Cabanes1, A Cazenave, C Le Provost
1Laboratoire d'Etudes en Géophysique et Océanographic Spatiales, Centre Nationale d'Etudes Spatiales, 18 Avenue Edouard Belin, Toulouse 31400, France.
概括
全球平均海平面上升主要是由于海洋热膨胀. 潮测量仪数据可能会高估20世纪海平面上升,这是由于热学海平面测量中的采样偏差.
科学领域:
- 海洋学 海洋学 海洋学
- 气候科学 气候科学
- 地质物理学 地质物理学
背景情况:
- 全球平均海平面上升 (SLR) 是气候变化的关键指标.
- 卫星高度测量 (例如,Topex/Poseidon) 提供了SLR的全球测量.
- 潮计提供长期的,本地化的海平面记录.
研究的目的:
- 为了使卫星观测的SLR与海洋学数据相协调.
- 为了调查从潮计的历史单反相机估计的潜在偏差.
- 评估热膨胀对观测到的海平面变化的贡献.
主要方法:
- 对托佩克斯/波赛顿卫星高度测量数据 (1993-1998) 的分析.
- 潮计记录与计算的热学海平面变化 (1955-1996) 的比较.
- 评估空间采样对热度海平面计算的影响.
主要成果:
- 观察到的全球平均SLR为3.2 ± 0.2 mm/年 (1993-1998),完全可以通过海洋热膨胀来解释.
- 潮测量数据与当地地点的计算热膨胀 (1955-1996) 之间的良好一致性.
- 在潮表位置进行次样采集时,发现热度SLR是全球平均值的两倍.
结论:
- 海洋热膨胀是最近全球平均海平面上升的主要驱动因素.
- 潮计数据,当不适当考虑空间采样时,可能会导致对历史的单反相机的高估.
- 建议使用更正的方法对20世纪的SLR估计进行修改.
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