Reto Knutti1, Thomas F Stocker, Fortunat Joos

  • 1Climate and Environmental Physics, Physics Institute, University of Bern, Switzerland.

Nature
|April 19, 2002
PubMed
概括

这项研究使用蒙特卡洛方法来量化全球变暖预测中的不确定性. 结果显示,全球气温将超过IPCC预测的可能性为40%,这突显了需要改进的气候模型的需要.

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