解释最近南半球气候变化的解释
David W J Thompson1, Susan Solomon
1Department of Atmospheric Science, Foothills Campus, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO 80523, USA. davet@atmos.colostate.edu
概括
南半球气候变化是由南半球环状模式驱动的. 最近的趋势显示,与臭氧层消耗相关的极地带变得更强,影响区域温度.
科学领域:
- 大气科学 大气科学
- 气候动力学 气候动力学
- 臭氧化学 臭氧化学
背景情况:
- 南半球 (SH) 的气候变化主要受到SH环状模式的影响,这是大气循环变化的模式.
- 这种模式的特点是SH环极的强度波动.
研究的目的:
- 解释最近的SH热层循环趋势.
- 将这些趋势与较低平流层极地和臭氧层消耗的变化联系起来.
- 为了解释在SH观察到的区域温度变化.
主要方法:
- 在SH中分析大气循环模式.
- 研究SH环状模式和极旋强度的趋势.
- 循环趋势与光化学臭氧损失和区域温度数据的相关性.
主要成果:
- 最近的SH热层循环趋势表明,SH环状模式偏向于高指数状态,其特点是较强的极旋.
- 这些循环趋势与最近较低平流层极地的变化密切相关,主要是由光化学臭氧损耗驱动的.
- 加剧的环极流在南极半岛和巴塔哥尼亚显著增加了气温,并在南极东部和南极高原在夏季和秋季期间降温.
结论:
- 光化学臭氧损失是最近SH气候趋势的关键驱动因素,通过它们对极地的影响.
- 受到臭氧消耗影响的SH环状模式的高指数偏差解释了南半球高度地区显著的区域温度变化.
- 了解这些联系对于预测未来气候变化和该地区影响至关重要.
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