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Neil M Ferguson1, Matt J Keeling, W John Edmunds
1Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, St Mary's Campus, Norfolk Place, London, W2 1PG, UK. neil.ferguson@imperial.ac.uk
数学模型通过评估威胁和制策略,有助于控制天花疫情. 了解历史数据对于建模当代病毒传播和告知政策决策至关重要.
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