在过去的几十年里,太阳的不寻常活动与之前的11000年相比,近几十年来太阳的不寻常活动
S K Solanki1, I G Usoskin, B Kromer
1Max-Planck-Institut für Sonnensystemforschung (formerly the Max-Planck-Institut für Aeronomie), 37191 Katlenburg-Lindau, Germany. solanki@mps.mpg.de
Nature
|October 29, 2004
概括
这项研究使用放射性碳数据重建了11400年的太阳黑子数量. 最近的太阳活动非常高,超过了8000多年来所见的水平.
科学领域:
- * 太阳物理学和古气候学.
- *研究长期太阳活动及其潜在的气候影响.
背景情况:
- * 直接观测太阳黑子数的时间仅为400年.
- * 较长的太阳活动记录对于气候影响研究和太阳能发电机模型至关重要.
研究的目的:
- *为了重建过去11,400年的太阳黑子数量.
- * 以长期的背景来评估最近的太阳活动水平.
- * 评估太阳对最近气候变化的贡献.
主要方法:
- * 过去太阳黑子数量的重建,使用树枝年代测定放射性碳度.
- * 运用基于物理的模型,将放射性碳水平与太阳黑子活动联系起来.
主要成果:
- *过去70年太阳的磁性活动水平在11,400年的记录中是例外的.
- *类似高太阳活动的时期很少见,仅占时间的10%左右.
- *大多数之前的高活动期比现在的更短.
结论:
- *目前的高太阳活动在历史上罕见,可能导致了20世纪的气候变化.
- * 然而,太阳的变化不太可能是过去三十年强烈变暖的主要驱动因素.
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