南欧森林阶段的持续时间和冰河间气候变化
P C Tzedakis1, K H Roucoux, L de Abreu
1Earth and Biosphere Institute, School of Geography, University of Leeds, Leeds, LS2 9JT, UK. P.C.Tzedakis@leeds.ac.uk
概括
过去的间冰期持续时间有很大差异,气候变化后的森林恢复并不总是发生. 千年变化,而不仅仅是轨道周期,可能会控制冰河间的长度,使未来的气候预测变得复杂.
科学领域:
- 古气候学 古气候学
- 海洋地质 海洋地质学
- 帕利诺学 (Palynology) 是一个临床学科.
背景情况:
- 了解过去的冰河间持续时间对于预测未来的气候变化至关重要.
- 轨道理论在很大程度上解释了冰河间的时间,但没有解释它们的具体长度.
研究的目的:
- 分析过去35万年中温带阶段持续时间的变化.
- 为了研究气候变化,森林覆盖和冰河间期间的甲水平之间的关系.
主要方法:
- 对深海沉积物进行基氧同位素分析.
- 海洋沉积物核心的花粉分析.
- 与大气中甲记录的相关性.
主要成果:
- 在过去35万年中,温和 (间冰期) 阶段的持续时间发生了显著的变化.
- 在低冰量时期观察到森林收缩,与甲减少相吻合.
- 一些气候事件后森林种群的不完全恢复.
结论:
- 虽然轨道强迫与间冰期的一般时间保持一致,但它们的具体持续时间受到千年级气候变化的影响.
- 这种变化的不可预测性使得对自然间冰期长度的预测变得复杂.
- 需要进一步研究千年气候变化的起源,以改善气候预测.
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