农业和野生自然的命运
Rhys E Green1, Stephen J Cornell, Jörn P W Scharlemann
1Department of Zoology, University of Cambridge, Downing Street, Cambridge, CB2 3EJ, UK. reg29@hermes.cam.ac.uk
概括
满足未来全球粮食需求需要谨慎的农业战略,以保护生物多样性. 高产量农业可能对物种持续存在至关重要,特别是在发展中国家,平衡粮食需求与保护.
科学领域:
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
- 保护生物学 保护生物学
- 农业科学 农业科学
背景情况:
- 预计到2050年,全球粮食需求将增加一倍以上,对野生动物和息地构成重大威胁.
- 农业被确定为鸟类物种灭绝的主要驱动因素,预计影响将加剧,特别是在发展中国家.
研究的目的:
- 模拟和解决野生动物友好的农业和节省土地的方法之间的权衡,以满足未来的粮食需求.
- 根据农业需求和物种密度与产量关系来确定物种持续存在的最佳养殖策略.
主要方法:
- 开发一个预测模型来分析农业实践,农业产量和物种持久性之间的关系.
- 审查现有的实证数据物种密度-产量函数在各种类别.
主要成果:
- 对物种持续存在的最佳养殖策略取决于农产品需求和特定物种的密度-产量函数.
- 有证据表明,高产的农业实践可能会支持更大的物种持久性,特别是在发展中国家.
结论:
- 为了平衡日益增长的粮食需求与生物多样性保护,需要定制的农业战略.
- 对密度-产量函数的进一步研究对于完善农业的保护方法至关重要.
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