相关实验视频
Updated: Jul 10, 2026

06:10
Using Generative Art to Convey Past and Future Climate Transitions
Published on: March 31, 2023
全球变暖和海平面上升还需要多少?
Gerald A Meehl1, Warren M Washington, William D Collins
1National Center for Atmospheric Research, Post Office Box 3000, Boulder, CO 80307, USA. meehl@ncar.ucar.edu
概括
即使温室气体水平稳定,地球也面临着未来的显著变暖和海平面上升. 气候模型表明,到2100年,承诺的摄氏半度上升和320%的热膨胀将导致海平面上升.
科学领域:
- 气候科学 气候科学
- 海洋学 海洋学 海洋学
- 大气科学 大气科学
背景情况:
- 温室气体度一直在上升,导致全球变暖.
- 过去的气候变化已经在全球范围内观察到.
- 未来的气候轨迹取决于稳定场景.
研究的目的:
- 在假设的温室气体稳定场景下预测未来的气候变化.
- 量化承诺的全球变暖和海平面上升.
- 评估气候模型预测对区域气候模式的影响.
主要方法:
- 利用了两个全球合的气候模型.
- 从2000年开始,模拟了气候条件,稳定了温室气体度.
- 分析了由于热膨胀而导致的全球温度和海平面预测变化.
主要成果:
- 到21世纪末,全球气候变暖约为0.5°C的承诺.
- 另外320%的海平面上升归因于热膨胀.
- 预计大西洋南部翻转循环的削弱不会导致欧洲的净冷却.
结论:
- 过去的排放使地球面临着未来显著的气候变化,无论立即稳定情况如何.
- 海平面上升和全球变暖的趋势将持续到21世纪稳定之后.
- 区域气候影响,如北大西洋循环变化,需要仔细考虑.
相关概念视频
The Carbon Cycle
Carbon is the basis of all organic matter on Earth, and is recycled through the ecosystem in two primary processes: one in which carbon is exchanged among living organisms, and one in which carbon is cycled over long periods of time through fossilized organic remains, weathering of rocks, and volcanic activity. Human activities, including increased agricultural practices and the burning of fossil fuels, has greatly affected the balance of the natural carbon cycle.
What is Weather?
Overview
What is Climate?
Climate refers to the prevailing weather conditions in a specific area over an extended period. As the saying goes, “Climate is what you expect. Weather is what you get.” Climate is influenced by geographic factors, such as latitude, terrain, and proximity to bodies of water.
Global Climate Change
Throughout its ~4.5 billion year history, the Earth has experienced periods of warming and cooling. However, the current drastic increase in global temperatures is well outside of the Earth’s cyclic norms, and evidence for human-caused global climate change is compelling. Paleoclimatology, the study of ancient climate conditions, provides ample evidence for human-caused global climate change by comparing recent conditions with those in the past.
Radiation: Applications
The average temperature of Earth is the subject of much current discussion. Earth is in radiative contact with both the Sun and dark space; it receives almost all its energy from the radiation of the Sun and reflects some of it into outer space. Dark space is very cold, about 3 K, so Earth radiates energy into it. For instance, heat transfer occurs from soil and grasses, the rate of which can be so rapid that frost can occur on clear summer evenings, even in warm latitudes.
The average...
The average...
Microbes and Climate Change
Microorganisms are pivotal agents in Earth's biogeochemical cycles, significantly influencing climate dynamics through their metabolic activities. These microbes modulate the levels of key greenhouse gases by both contributing to and helping mitigate climate change.Microbial Contributions to Greenhouse Gas EmissionsRising global temperatures accelerate microbial metabolism, which, in turn, speeds up the decomposition of organic matter. This process releases carbon dioxide (CO₂) through...

