地球的能量不平衡:确认和影响
James Hansen1, Larissa Nazarenko, Reto Ruedy
1NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, NY 10025, USA. jhansen@giss.nasa.gov
概括
由于温室气体,地球正在吸收多余的太阳能,造成了显著的能量不平衡. 这表明未来的变暖和海平面上升加速,需要积极的气候变化缓解战略.
科学领域:
- 气候科学是气候科学.
- 地球系统科学 地球系统科学
- 大气物理大气物理学
背景情况:
- 地球的能量平衡受到温室气体和气溶的影响.
- 精确测量能量不平衡对于气候预测至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 量化地球当前的能量不平衡.
- 根据观察到的能量不平衡来预测未来的气候变化影响.
主要方法:
- 利用由温室气体和气溶等强迫因素驱动的气候模型.
- 通过10年海洋热量含量测量的模型计算得到确认.
主要成果:
- 据计算,地球吸收的太阳能比它发出的太阳能多0.85 +/- 0.15 W/m2.
- 观察到不断增加的海洋热量含量证实了计算的能量不平衡.
结论:
- 预计全球变暖0.6°C,没有进一步的大气变化.
- 强调气候系统的滞后,需要预先采取气候行动.
- 冰盖的加速解体和海平面上升是可能的.
相关概念视频
What is Climate?
Climate refers to the prevailing weather conditions in a specific area over an extended period. As the saying goes, “Climate is what you expect. Weather is what you get.” Climate is influenced by geographic factors, such as latitude, terrain, and proximity to bodies of water.
Energy Diagrams - II
Energy diagrams are important to understand the dynamics of a system. The topology of an energy diagram helps illustrate the equilibrium points of the system.
The point in the energy diagram at which the system’s potential energy is the lowest is known as the local minima. The system tends to stay in this position indefinitely unless acted upon by a net force. The slope of the potential energy diagram at the local minima is zero, indicating that zero net force is acting on the system. The slope...
The point in the energy diagram at which the system’s potential energy is the lowest is known as the local minima. The system tends to stay in this position indefinitely unless acted upon by a net force. The slope of the potential energy diagram at the local minima is zero, indicating that zero net force is acting on the system. The slope...
Variation in Acceleration due to Gravity near the Earth's Surface
An object's apparent weight is its weight measured by a spring balance at its location. It is different from its true weight, the force with which the Earth pulls it, because of the Earth's rotation. Mathematically, an object's apparent weight equals its true weight minus the centripetal force that keeps it in a circular motion along with the Earth's surface every 24 hours.
The difference between the true and apparent weights is proportional to the square of the Earth's angular speed. Since the...
The difference between the true and apparent weights is proportional to the square of the Earth's angular speed. Since the...
Energy of a Satellite in a Circular Orbit
Thousands of artificial satellites orbit the Earth every day at various distances from the Earth. Satellites that orbit the Earth below an altitude of 1,600 km are considered to be orbiting in low-Earth orbit (LEO). Research satellites and Earth observation satellites are usually placed in LEO, and mostly orbit the Earth in elliptical orbits. Navigation satellites are placed in medium-Earth orbit (MEO), ranging from 2,000 km to 36,000 km from the surface of the Earth. Meanwhile, communication...
Radiation: Applications
The average temperature of Earth is the subject of much current discussion. Earth is in radiative contact with both the Sun and dark space; it receives almost all its energy from the radiation of the Sun and reflects some of it into outer space. Dark space is very cold, about 3 K, so Earth radiates energy into it. For instance, heat transfer occurs from soil and grasses, the rate of which can be so rapid that frost can occur on clear summer evenings, even in warm latitudes.
The average...
The average...
Conservation of Mechanical Energy
The mechanical energy E of a system is the sum of its potential energy U and the kinetic energy K of the objects within it. What happens to this mechanical energy when only conservative forces cause energy transfers within the system—that is, when frictional and drag forces do not act on the objects in the system? Also assume that the system is isolated from its environment; in other words no external force from an object outside the system causes energy changes inside the system.
When a...
When a...


