重新调整灾难援助的重点
Joanne Linnerooth-Bayer1, Reinhard Mechler, Georg Pflug
1International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria.
概括
新的灾害风险建模使得对弱势群体的预防性援助成为可能. 捐赠者资助的保险工具将灾难风险转移,利用援助并减少灾后的依赖.
科学领域:
- 气候科学 气候科学
- 金融经济学 金融经济学
- 灾害管理 灾害管理
背景情况:
- 发展中国家因自然灾害而面临严重的经济影响.
- 传统的灾难援助往往是不足的和反应性的.
- 灾难风险建模已经取得了显著的进步.
研究的目的:
- 探索如何增强灾害风险建模可以告知预防性财政援助.
- 评估新型保险工具对灾难风险转移的有用性.
- 评估捐赠者支持的风险转移计划对捐赠者和接受者的好处.
主要方法:
- 使用先进的建模技术,用于自然灾害风险估计和定价.
- 开发和分析用于灾难风险转移的新型保险工具.
- 检查风险转移工具与防灾措施的结合.
主要成果:
- 新的建模技术为主动的灾害经济影响评估提供了基础.
- 保险工具可以有效地将灾难风险转移到全球金融市场.
- 捐助者支持的计划提供了一种利用援助预算和减少受援国依赖的方法.
结论:
- 通过先进的风险建模和保险来促进预防性财政援助,可以帮助穷人应对灾难的经济影响.
- 捐助者支持的灾难风险转移计划提供了相互利益,提高了援助的有效性和国家抵御能力.
- 将风险转移与预防措施相结合,最大限度地提高了灾难援助的积极影响.
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