地震破裂的决定性性质
Erik L Olson1, Richard M Allen
1Department of Geology and Geophysics, University of Wisconsin Madison, 1215 W. Dayton Street, Madison, Wisconsin 53706, USA.
Nature
|November 11, 2005
概括
早期的地震能量频率含量可以预测地震的强度. 这表明地震破裂比以前认为的更具决定性,允许更早的震级估计.
科学领域:
- 地球科学 地球科学 地球科学
- 地震学 地震学
- 地质物理学 地质物理学
背景情况:
- 了解地震破裂是评估断层系统和地震危险的关键.
- 广泛引用的级联模型表明,地震是非决定性的,大小只有在断裂停止后才能确定.
- 目前没有统一的理论可以解释断层破裂过程.
研究的目的:
- 为了研究地震破裂的决定性性质.
- 为了确定地震的强度是否可以在破裂过程的早期预测.
主要方法:
- 在地震破裂的最初几秒钟辐射的地震能量频率含量的分析.
- 早期地震能量特征与最终地震强度的相关性.
主要成果:
- 在破裂的前几秒钟内辐射的地震能量的频率含量与最终的地震强度相匹配.
- 这种缩放允许在破裂完成之前估计地震强度.
结论:
- 地震破裂表现出一定程度的决定性.
- 早期的地震数据可以用来估计地震的最终强度,挑战非决定性的级联模型.
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