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Updated: Jul 5, 2026

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A New Method for Inducing a Depression-Like Behavior in Rats
Published on: February 22, 2018
痴呆症的全球流行:德尔菲共识研究
Cleusa P Ferri1, Martin Prince, Carol Brayne
1Section of Epidemiology, Institute of Psychiatry, King's College, London, UK. c.ferri@iop.kcl.ac.uk
Lancet (London, England)
|December 20, 2005
概括
在全球范围内,阿尔茨海默氏症影响了2430万人,每年有460万新病例. 到2040年,痴呆症的患病率将翻一番,对发展中国家产生不成比例的影响.
科学领域:
- 神经学 神经学
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
背景情况:
- 阿尔茨海默病是全球导致残疾的主要原因,对健康造成重大负担.
- 尽管有影响,但全面的全球痴呆症流行数据仍然有限.
研究的目的:
- 确定世界卫生组织 (WHO) 在所有全球地区的痴呆症患病率.
- 提供2001年,2020年和2040年的最新估计和预测.
主要方法:
- 使用了德尔菲共识方法,与12名国际专家合作.
- 对已发表的痴呆症研究的系统审查为专家估计提供了信息.
- 联合国人口数据用于人口预测和发病率计算.
主要成果:
- 据估计,在2020年,全球有2430万人患有痴呆症.
- 每年大约有460万个新的痴呆病例出现.
- 预计到2040年,痴呆症病例将达到8.1亿,发展中国家的病例将大幅增加.
结论:
- 该研究为全球痴呆症流行率提供了最全面的当前估计.
- 调查结果对于为全球卫生政策制定和资源分配提供信息至关重要.
- 强调迫切需要在高增长地区采取有针对性的干预措施.
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