火山和气候:克拉卡托亚的特征在海洋中持续存在
P J Gleckler1, T M L Wigley, B D Santer
1Program for Climate Model Diagnosis and Intercomparison, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, California 94550, USA. pgleckler@llnl.gov
Nature
|February 10, 2006
概括
1883年克拉卡托瓦火山喷发显著冷却了海洋,减少了20世纪的海洋变暖和海平面上升. 这种火山冷却效应持续了几十年,抵消了一些人为引起的气候变化.
科学领域:
- 气候科学 气候科学
- 海洋学 海洋学 海洋学
- 火山学 火山学是一门学科.
背景情况:
- 20世纪气候变化的特点是海洋显著变暖和海平面上升.
- 大规模的火山喷发可以将气溶注入平流层,导致全球暂时冷却.
- 火山冷却对深海热结构的长期影响尚未完全理解.
研究的目的:
- 分析1883年克拉卡托瓦火山喷发对海洋变暖和海平面上升的影响.
- 调查火山引起的海洋冷却的持续性和深度.
- 量化火山冷却抵消人为气候变化的程度.
主要方法:
- 分析了一套12种最先进的气候模型.
- 模拟包括1883年克拉卡托瓦火山爆发的影响.
- 20世纪海洋热结构和海平面变化的研究.
主要成果:
- 由于克拉卡托瓦火山爆发,海洋变暖和海平面上升在20世纪大幅减少.
- 由火山引起的海洋表面冷却已经透到更深层的海洋层.
- 这种冷却效应持续了几十年,比以前怀疑的时间更长.
结论:
- 克拉卡托瓦火山爆发对海洋热结构产生了重大而持久的影响.
- 火山的冷却可以抵消人类造成的海洋变暖和海平面上升的很大一部分.
- 了解过去的火山事件对于完善气候模型预测至关重要.
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