在大陆河流流量记录中检测到直接的二氧化碳效应
1Met Office, Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research (JCHMR), Maclean Building, Wallingford OX10 8BB, UK. nicola.gedney@metoffice.gov.uk
Nature
|February 17, 2006
概括
由于大气中二氧化碳 (CO2) 的上升,大陆的下水量增加,抑制了植物的透气. 这一发现影响了淡水供应预测,并揭示了二氧化碳对陆地生态系统的直接影响.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 气候科学 气候科学
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
背景情况:
- 整个20世纪,大陆的排水量一直在增加,与人类增加的用水量形成鲜明对比.
- 潜在的驱动因素包括气候变化,森林砍伐,太阳变暗,以及大气中的二氧化碳 (CO2) 对植物透气的直接影响.
- 这些因素可以改变降水和蒸发,影响流水模式.
研究的目的:
- 将观测到的大陆流水变化归因于特定的贡献因素.
- 调查气候变化,森林砍伐,太阳变暗和二氧化碳对植物透气的影响.
主要方法:
- 利用机械的陆地表面模型来模拟水文过程.
- 采用最佳指纹统计技术来归因流量变化.
- 经验证的模型性能与气候驱动的年度间排水变化.
主要成果:
- 仅仅是20世纪的气候趋势无法解释观察到的排水量增加.
- 发现流水趋势与抑制的植物透气相一致.
- 碳排放引起的口腔闭塞被确定为这种抑制的主要驱动因素.
结论:
- 直接对植物透气的二氧化碳影响显著影响大陆流水.
- 未来的淡水供应预测需要纳入这些直接的二氧化碳影响.
- 这项研究检测和量化了二氧化碳对陆地生物圈运作的直接影响.
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