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在热带印度洋的一个双极模式
N H Saji1, B N Goswami, P N Vinayachandran
1Institute for Global Change Research, SEAVANS N 7F, 1-2-1 Shibaura, Minato-ku, Tokyo 105 6791, Japan.
Nature
|July 25, 2006
概括
科学家们发现了一种新的印度洋双极模式,一种独特的空海相互作用驱动气候变化. 这一发现改善了东非和印度尼西亚等地区的长期降雨异常预测.
科学领域:
- 海洋学 海洋学 海洋学
- 气候学 气候学 气候学
- 气象学 天气学
背景情况:
- 在太平洋和大西洋,人们已经认识到气候变化的内部模式.
- 类似的海洋-大气相互作用驱动年间气候变化以前在印度洋未被发现.
研究的目的:
- 确定和描述印度洋气候变化的内部模式.
- 研究海洋与大气的相互作用,是该地区年度间气候变化的原因.
主要方法:
- 对过去40年的观测数据进行分析.
- 检查海面温度,风力模式和降水异常情况.
- 评估海洋表面温度和风之间的时空联系,考虑到海洋动态和降水.
主要成果:
- 发现印度洋双极 (IOD) 模式,一种内部变化的模式.
- IOD显示了苏门答腊附近海面温度异常低,印度洋西部海面温度高.
- 这种模式通过降水和海洋动态相结合,独立于厄尔尼诺/南方振荡,解释了印度洋12%的海面温度变化.
结论:
- 已识别的双极模式是印度洋中独特的,固有的空海相互作用过程.
- 活跃的IOD事件与东非的暴雨和印度尼西亚的干旱有关.
- 这一发现增强了受影响国家长期降雨异常预测的前景.
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