预测地震断裂的终点点
1Center for Neotectonic Studies, Mail Stop 169, University of Nevada, Reno, Nevada 89557, USA. stevew@seismo.unr.edu
Nature
|November 17, 2006
概括
地震破裂通常在断层阶段停止,这些断层阶段作为传播障碍. 3-4公里的关键断层阶段大小限制了断层长度,影响了地震危险评估.
科学领域:
- 地质地质地质地质地质地
- 地震学 地震学
- 地震科学 地震科学 地震科学
背景情况:
- 地震破裂沿着活跃断层痕迹传播.
- 断层痕迹经常是不连续的,具有可以影响破裂传播的步骤.
研究的目的:
- 调查断层不连续性在限制地震断裂长度方面的作用.
- 为了确定阻碍断裂传播的关键故障步骤维度.
主要方法:
- 分析了22次历史性冲击滑动地震的地图表面破裂痕迹.
- 统计检查破裂终点与故障阶段特征之间的关系.
主要成果:
- 大约三分之二的冲击滑动地震断裂终点与断层阶段或断层终点相吻合.
- 确定了3-4公里的限制性断层尺寸,在此以上破裂很少传播.
- 在这个临界维度以下,破裂传播大约在40%的时间内停止.
结论:
- 断层阶段在控制地震断裂长度方面发挥着至关重要的作用.
- 确定关键断层阶段维度对于地震危险分析和理解地震动态至关重要.
- 限制维度在很大程度上与地震破裂的整体长度无关,这表明破裂前线的应力变化动态一致.
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