气候变化的间接辐射强迫通过臭氧对陆地碳汇的影响
S Sitch1, P M Cox, W J Collins
1Met Office, Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research (JCHMR), Maclean Building, Wallingford, OX10 8BB, UK. stephen.sitch@metoffice.gov.uk
Nature
|July 27, 2007
概括
热层臭氧水平的上升显著减少了土地的碳汇,影响了植物的生产力. 这种效应可能比臭氧更能加速全球变暖.
科学领域:
- 气候科学是气候科学.
- 生物地质化学循环 生物地质化学循环
- 植物生理学 植物生理学
背景情况:
- 地球的气候演变取决于大气中的二氧化碳 (CO2) 被陆地和海洋碳循环所去除.
- 以前的气候模型忽视了大气化学变化,特别是热层臭氧的上升.
- 化石燃料和生物质燃烧使全球平均热层臭氧增加了一倍,预计会进一步增加.
研究的目的:
- 量化预计的热层臭氧变化对陆地碳汇的影响.
- 研究臭氧,二氧化碳和植物口腔关闭之间的相互作用.
- 评估臭氧对全球变暖的间接辐射强迫效应.
主要方法:
- 利用全球陆地碳循环模型,结合臭氧沉积对光合作用的影响.
- 通过口腔关闭机制考虑了臭氧和二氧化碳之间的相互作用.
- 使用来自实地实验的灵敏度参数.
主要成果:
- 预计热层臭氧的增加将大大抑制全球陆地碳汇.
- 臭氧对植物生产力的负面影响导致大气中二氧化碳的积累增加.
- 臭氧通过植物效应的间接辐射强迫可能超过直接辐射强迫.
结论:
- 热带层臭氧对植物生产力的影响是气候变化的关键,以前被低估的因素.
- 陆地碳汇对臭氧的反应需要修订气候预测.
- 臭氧对气候的间接影响需要在气候政策中进一步调查和考虑.
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