由于植物对二氧化碳增加的反应,大陆水流量预计会增加
Richard A Betts1, Olivier Boucher, Matthew Collins
1Met Office Hadley Centre, Fitzroy Road, Exeter EX1 3PB, UK. richard.betts@metoffice.gov.uk
Nature
|August 31, 2007
概括
二氧化碳水平的上升增加了植物的保留水,增加了大陆的下水. 这种"生理强迫"对淡水资源的影响比以前理解的要大,可能会缓解未来的水资源短缺.
科学领域:
- 气候科学 气候科学
- 水文学的水文学
- 植物生理学 植物生理学
背景情况:
- 增加大气中的二氧化碳通过辐射强迫和植物生理反应影响气候.
- 在高二氧化碳下关闭植物口腔减少了透气,增加了陆地地表水的可用性.
- 这种"生理强迫"在20世纪被观察到作为不断上升的大陆下水流.
研究的目的:
- 量化生理强迫对未来大陆流水变化的贡献.
- 评估植物对二氧化碳的生理反应对全球水文循环的影响.
- 为了比较生理强迫与辐射强迫对未来流水的影响.
主要方法:
- 利用了全球气候模型,并集成了植被成分.
- 进行了一系列模拟二倍二氧化碳度的实验.
- 分析了模拟大陆流水和透气的变化.
主要成果:
- 由于生理效应,二氧化碳度翻倍使全球模拟平均排水量增加了6%.
- 这种生理强迫对流水的影响相当于辐射强迫效应 (11 +/- 6%).
- 未来仅基于辐射强迫的评估低估了流量增加和高估了流量减少.
结论:
- 生理强迫显著影响水文循环,影响淡水资源的可用性.
- 低估生理强迫可能导致对未来水资源的预测不准确.
- 仅仅是辐射强迫的概念并不能完全捕捉温室气体对淡水资源的影响.
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