概括
在主要的经合组织国家,供热油的使用在1972年至1983年间显著下降,通过减少每户消耗和减少用油供热的住宅,实现了相当大的,可能是永久的保护性节约.
科学领域:
- 能源经济学 能源经济学
- 环境政策 环境政策
- 资源管理 资源管理
背景情况:
- 发达国家的供热油消费量在20世纪70年代中期大幅增加.
- 了解石油使用变化的驱动因素对于能源政策和节约努力至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 估计加热油使用变化的永久性和可逆性组成部分.
- 分析导致主要经合组织国家石油消费增加和随后减少的因素.
主要方法:
- 热油消耗数据的经济学分析.
- 石油使用变化的分解成与加热家庭数量和每个家庭的消费量相关的组件.
主要成果:
- 在1972年至1983年期间,七个经合组织国家的住宅石油使用量下降了40%,每天节省了120万桶石油.
- 三分之一的节省来自更少的石油加热家庭;三分之二来自减少每户家庭使用.
- 实际的保护成本被低估,原因是房屋规模的增加和中央供暖的透率.
结论:
- 总石油节约的至少46%是永久性的.
- 可逆性储蓄可能会受到未来油价波动的影响.
- 预计大多数保护节省将保持,并可能随着时间的推移而增加.
相关概念视频
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