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Updated: Jul 8, 2026

10:35
Bringing the Visible Universe into Focus with Robo-AO
Published on: February 12, 2013
概括
轨道红外激光弹道导弹防御系统的成本交换比率可能大于1. 这表明,部署更多的进攻型导弹可能比开发这种战略防御系统更具成本效益.
科学领域:
- 航空航天工程 航空航天工程
- 防务技术 防务技术 技术
- 战略研究 战略研究
背景情况:
- 战略防御计划提出了轨道红外激光平台作为弹道导弹防御系统.
- 反对这种系统可能需要增加进攻型导弹的数量.
研究的目的:
- 审查用于计算拟议弹道导弹防御系统的成本交换比率的方法.
- 评估轨道红外激光防御系统对洲际弹道导弹的经济可行性.
主要方法:
- 计算成本交换比:每枚被摧毁的导弹的防御成本与每枚部署的导弹的进攻成本.
- 分析一个在轨红外激光防御与同时发射洲际弹道导弹的场景.
- 估计防御成本的下限和攻击成本的上限.
主要成果:
- 轨道红外激光弹道导弹防御系统的成本交换比率被发现大大超过1.
- 这表明部署对策 (进攻导弹) 的成本低于防御系统的成本.
结论:
- 分析的弹道导弹防御系统可能不符合有效性要求,如果其成本超过导弹扩散的成本.
- 计算成本交换比率的方法可应用于各种拟议的战略防御系统.
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