概括
到2000年,西欧将面临强烈的能源进口竞争. 发展国内的煤炭和核电,包括培育反应堆,与确保外国能源资源的同时至关重要.
科学领域:
- 能源安全研究 能源安全研究
- 能源资源的地缘政治
- 核能政策 核能政策
背景情况:
- 西欧对进口石油的严重依赖.
- 预计在2000年之前,全球对能源资源的竞争将会加剧.
- 在有利的经济和政治条件下确保煤炭和进口的潜在困难.
研究的目的:
- 分析西欧面临的能源进口挑战.
- 倡导发展战略能源政策.
- 强调能源多样化的必要性.
主要方法:
- 对预计的经济增长和节能趋势的分析.
- 评估进口煤炭和的可行性.
- 考虑地缘政治因素,包括南北对抗.
主要成果:
- 即使在保守的经济增长和高节能水平的情况下,本土煤炭和核电发展至关重要.
- 迫切需要同时开发国内煤炭和核电源,包括培育技术.
- 对外国能源储备的长期合同进行谈判是强制性的.
结论:
- 西欧必须主动发展其内部能源能力.
- 能源多样化和战略性国际协议对于未来的能源安全至关重要.
- 政策必须解决影响能源供应链的潜在地缘政治升级问题.
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